During Perestroika, the Estonian Popular Front (PF) used opinion polling to assert itself as the only political force attentive to public feedback. This article situates this claim in the longer history of Soviet debates over the necessity for feedback in complex societies. It argues that the PF’s politics of polling were based on cybernetics-inspired theories of social communication, developed in the 1960s and 1970s at Tartu University by researchers such as Marju Lauristin. Institutionally, the rise of polling was enabled by organisations created to deliver the Scientific–Technological Revolution in Soviet economics and society, such as the Sociology Laboratory in Tartu, and the management consulting bureau Mainor, in Tallinn. Thus, the political contestations of the late 1980s appear as the radicalised end point of a decades-long Soviet debate over the shape and methods of social reform.
1. For an overview of this literature, see E. Rindzevičiūtė. The Power of Systems: How Policy Sciences Opened Up the Cold War World. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, NY, 2015; R. English. Russia and the Idea of the West: Gorbachev, Intellectuals, and the End of the Cold War. Columbia University Press, New York, NY, 2000; K. Tatarchenko. Soviet SCI_BERIA: The Politics of Expertise and the Novosibirsk Scientific Center. Bloomsbury, New York, NY, 2024; B. Shoshitaishvili. The Planetary Mirror: Earth Science and the Re-imagining of Humanity. Forthcoming; A. Velmet. The Information Revolution: The Politics of Digital Infrastructure from Soviet Cybernetics to Estonian E-Governance. Forthcoming.
2. M. Gorbachev. On My Country and the World. Columbia University Press, New York, NY, 2000, 176.
3. C. Miller. The Struggle to Save the Soviet Economy: Mikhail Gorbachev and the Collapse of the USSR. UNC Press, Chapel Hill, NC, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5149/northcarolina/9781469630175.001.0001
A. Leeds. Administrative monsters: Yurii Yaremenko’s critique of the late Soviet state. – History of Political Economy, 2019, 51, S1, 127–181.
https://doi.org/10.1215/00182702-7903264
4. The role of sociology for Gorbachev and other metropolitan perestroika leaders is comparatively underexplored, but two starting points might be Г. Юдин. Общественное мнение, или Власть цифр. Изд. Европейского Университета в Санкт-Петербурге, Санкт-Петербург, 2020, 121–127, and M. Gessen. The Future Is History: How Totalitarianism Reclaimed Russia. Penguin, New York, NY, 2017.
5. E. Savisaar, L. Valt. Globaalprobleemid ja tulevikustsenaariumid. Eesti Raamat, Tallinn, 1983.
6. J. Saharov. Eesti perestroika keeled (1986–1988). – Acta Historica Tallinnensia, 2023, 29, 1, 93–127.
https://doi.org/10.3176/hist.2023.1.04
On the role of other social science experts, see L. F. Stöcker. Perestroika and the Economic “Westernization” of the USSR: Soviet Estonian Market Pioneers and Their Nordic Partners. − Ajalooline Ajakiri, 2016, 3–4, 447–476.
7. M. Tamm. The republic of historians: historians as nation-builders in Estonia (late 1980s–early 1990s). – Rethinking History, 2016, 20, 2, 154–171
https://doi.org/10.1080/13642529.2016.1153272
O. Liivik. Vastuseisust protestideni: võitlus fosforiidikaevanduste vastu 1970. ja 1980. aastate Eestis. – Methis, 2022, 24, 30, 132–155
https://doi.org/10.7592/methis.v24i30.22110
M. R. Auer. Environmentalism and Estonia’s Independence Movement. – Nationalities Papers, 1998, 26, 4, 659–676.
https://doi.org/10.1080/00905999808408593
8. C. Reinecke. Fragen an die sozialistische Lebensweise Empirische Sozialforschung und soziales Wissen in der SED- ›Fürsorgediktatur‹ – Archiv für Sozialgeschichte, 2010, 50, 311–334; J. Gieseke, Opinion polling behind and across the Iron Curtain: How West and East German pollsters shaped knowledge regimes on communist societies. – History of the Human Sciences, 2016, 29, 4–5, 77–98.
https://doi.org/10.1177/0952695116667880
9. K. Kunakhovich. Communism’s Public Sphere: Culture as Politics in Cold War Poland and East Germany. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, 2022, 102–128
https://doi.org/10.7591/cornell/9781501767043.003.0005
D. S. Mason. Public Opinion and Political Change in Poland, 1980–1982. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1985.
https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511898174
10. D. Mason. Public Opinion and Political Change, 117–125.
11. J. Saharov. From Future Scenarios to Sovereignty Declarations: Estonian Cyberspeak and the Breakup of the Soviet Union. – Europe-Asia Studies, 2022, 74, 5, 809–831, see fn 7 on p. 813.
https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2022.2035320
On collaborations with Hungary, see М. Лауристин, Б. Фирсов. Массовая коммуникация и охрана среды: Oпыт социологического исследования. Эести раамат, Таллинн, 1987.
12. This argument is advanced, for instance, in S. Kotkin, J. T. Gross. Uncivil Society: 1989 and the Implosion of the Communist Establishment. The Modern Library, New York, 2009, xiv, xvii.
13. W. Sewell. Logics of History: Social Theory and Social Transformation. Chicago University Press, Chicago, 2005, 225–269; M. Warner. Publics and Counterpublics. Zone Books, Brooklyn, 2002; D. McAdam, S. Tarrow, C. Tilly. Dynamics of Contention. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2001, 26–28. On publics in socialist states, see M. Silberman. Problematizing the “Socialist Public Sphere”: Concepts and Consequences. – What Remains: East German Culture and the Postwar Republic. Ed. by M. Silberman. AICGS Conference Report, Washington D.C., 1995, 1–35.
14. Э. Сависаар. Народный фронт – революция снизу. – Советская Эстония, 7 June 1988; Marju Lauristin quoted in Ю. Таммару. Комментарии для Вперед – Вперед, 17 May 1988. Both in Rahvusarhiiv (National Archives of Estonia, ERA), Tallinn, ERA.9599.1.5.
15. O. Liivik. Vastuseisust protestideni, 146.
16. Historians of public opinion are quick to point out that polls are “as much responsible for creating a mass public as they were reacting to its arrival”, and that the conclusion that can be drawn from, in particular, surveys of the “average” or of the “typical” citizen are loaded with assumptions. S. Igo. The Averaged American: Surveys, Citizens, and the Making of a Mass Public. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 2008; S. Patriarca. Numbers and Nationhood: Writing Statistics in Nineteenth-Century Italy. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1996; J. Cowans. Fear and Loathing in Paris: The Reception of Opinion Polling in France, 1938–1977. – Social Science History, 2002, 26, 1, 71–104; L. DuMond Beers. Whose Opinion? Changing Attitudes towards Opinion Polling in British Politics, 1937–1964. – Twentieth Century British History, 2006, 17, 2, 177–205; F. Meijer. Charting Dutch Democracy: Opinion Polls, Broadcasters and Electoral Culture in the Netherlands, 1965–1990. – BMGN – Low Countries Historical Review, 2022, 137, 3, 32–59; S. Ploeg, E. Vesterlund. Opinion Polls across Boundaries: The Early History of Northwestern European Opinion Polling beyond National Borders and Disciplinary Frameworks. – Contemporary European History, 2025, 34, 531–548.
17. R. Kline. The Cybernetics Moment: Or Why We Call Our Age the Information Age. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, 2015, 4–5; P. N. Edwards. The Closed World: Computers and the Politics of Discourse in Cold War America. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 147–173.
18. S. Gerovitch. From Newspeak to Cyberspeak: A History of Soviet Cybernetics. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2002, 199–254.
https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/3137.001.0001
19. Members of the Sociology Laboratory have recently narrated their own history in M. Heidmets, M. Lauristin, P. Vihalemm. Vabaduse labor. Tallinn, Hea Lugu, 2025. Unfortunately the book was published after this article was written and could not be incorporated into the manuscript.
20. Y. Feygin. Building a Ruin: The Cold War Politics of Soviet Economic Reform. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 2024, 94–151, 149–150.
https://doi.org/10.4159/9780674296664
21. Resolutions and Decisions of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, Vol. 4: The Khrushchev Years, 1953–1964. Ed. by G. Hodnett. University of Toronto Press, Toronto, 1974, 246. See also S. E. Reid. The Khrushchev Kitchen: Domesticating the Scientific-Technological Revolution. – Journal of Contemporary History, 2005, 40, 2, 289–316; S. Guth, S. Guth. One Future only: The Soviet Union in the Age of the Scientific-Technical Revolution. – Journal of Modern European History, 2015, 13, 3, 355–376
https://doi.org/10.17104/1611-8944-2015-3-355
E. Aronova. The politics and contexts of Soviet science studies (Naukovedenie): Soviet philosophy of science at the crossroads. – Studies in East European Thought, 2011, 63, 3, 175–202, particularly 185–189.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11212-011-9146-y
22. S. Gerovitch. From Newspeak to Cyberspeak; B. Peters. How Not to Network a Nation: The Uneasy History of the Soviet Internet. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2016.
23. Y. Feygin, Building a Ruin, 151–158, 165–168.
24. E. Rindzevičiūtė. The Power of Systems: How Policy Sciences Opened Up the Cold War World. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, 2016, 36–49.
https://doi.org/10.7591/cornell/9781501703188.001.0001
25. On the institutional limits of the STR, see E. Aronova. Big Science and “Big Science Studies” in the United States and the Soviet Union. – Science and Technology in the Global Cold War. Ed. by N. Oreskes, J. Krige. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2014, 414.
26. M. Heidmets, P. Vihalemm, M. Lauristin. Sotslabori juhtum. – Vikerkaar, 2024, 4–5, 94; M. Heidmets, interview with the author, 13 December 2023; E. Terk, interview with the author, 7 August 2023.
27. V. Petrov. Balkan Cyberia: Cold War Computing, Bulgarian Modernization, and the Information Age Behind the Iron Curtain Book. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2023.
https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/14212.001.0001
28. E. Kochetkova. Technological inequalities and motivation of Soviet institutions in the scientific-technological cooperation of Comecon in Europe, 1950s–80s. – European Review of History, 2021, 28, 3, 355–373, figures on p. 360, quote on p. 358.
https://doi.org/10.1080/13507486.2020.1835829
29. E. Tyugu. Computing and Computer Science in the Baltic Region. – History of Nordic Computing 2. IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology, vol. 303. Ed. by J. Impagliazzo, T. Järvi, P. Paju. Springer, Berlin, 2009, 37
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-03757-3_3
H. Aben to Yuri E. Sotnikov, letter from 4 January 1982. Tallinn, ERA.R-2357.1.342. The first indication of cooperation with the Soviet-Finnish firm Elorg dates from 1977, “Tööl põhjanaabrite juures”, 9 March 1981, unidentified newspaper clipping, Tallinn, ERA.R-2351.1.296.
30. E. Terk. Professor Üksvärava koolkond juhtimisteaduses: teke, toimimine ja mõjud majandusele. – Estonian Discussions on Economic Policy, 2020, 28, 1–2, 2020, 117–135; E. Terk, interview with the author, 7 August 2023; M. Laos. Mainori lugu. AS Mainor, Tallinn, 2014, 7–14.
31. E. Terk. Professor Üksvärava koolkond juhtimisteaduses, 129–130.
32. M. Gessen, The Future is History, 38–39; M. Lebedeva. Social Sciences in the USSR/Russia: History and Current State. – Global Perspectives, 2023, 4, 1, 2; E. Weinberg. Sociology in the Soviet Union and Beyond: Social Enquiry and Social Change. Routledge, London, [2004] 2018, 33.
https://doi.org/10.1525/gp.2023.88090
33. L. Titarenko, E. Zdravomyslova. Sociology in Russia: A Brief History. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham, 2017, 46.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58085-2
34. В. А. Иадов. Престиж в Опасности, Литературнаиа Газета, 28 February 1968, 11. For a longer discussion of the discipline’s revival, see E. Weinberg. Sociology in the Soviet Union, 58–59, and L. Titarenko, E. Zdravomyslova. Sociology in Russia, 46–50. For the context in Estonia, see M. Lagerspetz. Sotsioloogia – Peatükk Eesti kultuuriloost. Unpublished manuscript, 2007. http://users.abo.fi/mlagersp/SotsAjalEestis2007.pdf.
35. On the role of functionalism in Soviet sociology, see V. Slapentokh. The Politics of Sociology in the Soviet Union. Westview, Boulder, 1987.
36. On Yadov’s Leningrad period, see Б. З. Докторов. Мир Владимира Ядова: В. А. Ядов о себе и его друзья о нём. Радуга, Москва, 2016, 38–47.
37. Ü. Vooglaid. Jadov – Eesti sotsioloogia Õpetaja. Sotsioloogialabori algusest. – Inimeste maa. Aeg: Asser Murutar ja teekaaslased. Koost. A. Kasemets. MTÜ Heliraamat, Tartu, 2022, 22–32.
38. On the importance of contract work for the development of reformist thought, see chapter 11.
39. Sotsioloogialabori isikkoosseis ja materjalid laboratooriumi tegevuse kohta 1972/73 õ-a. Tallinn, EAA.5311.115.1; for a history of VNIITE, see A. Sankova (ed.). Discovering Utopia: Lost Archives of Soviet Design. Thames Hudson, London, 2023.
40. Б. Докторов. Жизнь в поисках «настоящей правды». За метки к биографии Ю. А. Левады. – Социальная реальность, 2007, 6, 85–87.
41. В. А. Иадов. Методологические проблемы конкретного социологического исследования. Ленинградский государственный университет им. А. А. Жданова, Ленинград, 1967; see also Vooglaid, Jadov – Eesti sotsioloogia Õpetaja, 31–32; E. Hion et al., Marjustini sajand, 117. For materials of the Kääriku seminars, see Ю. Вооглаид. Материалы встречи социологов. Кяэрику – 1968. Тартуский государственный университет, Тарту, 1969.
42. E. Hion, M. Lauristin, M. Visnap. Marjustini sajand. Hea Lugu, Tallinn, 2016, 116–117.
43. Ibid., 114–115.
44. M. Lauristin, P. Vihalemm. Massikommunikatsiooniteooria. Tartu Riiklik Ülikool, Tartu, 1977. For the reference to Wiener, see p. 8, for feedback, see p. 24.
45. L. Brezhnev cited in M. Lauristin, P. Vihalemm. Massikommunikatsiooniteooria, 3.
46. H. Sööde. Mõtteid propagandisti prestiižist. – Punalipp, 21 December 1974.
47. N. Wiener. Cybernetics or Control and Communication in the Animal and in the Machine. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2019 [1948], 130.
48. Ibid.
49. N. Wiener. The Human Use of Human Beings: Cybernetics and Society. Free Association Books, London, [1950] 1989, 26.
50. G. Naan. Võim ja vaim. – Looming, 1969, 12, 1860–1861. See also G. Naan, Norbert Wiener ja ajastu mõttelaad. – N. Wiener. Küberneetika ja ühiskond. Loomingu Raamatukogu, Tallinn, 1969, 10–11.
51. M. Heidmets et al. Sotslabori juhtum, 95.
52. E. Hion et al. Marjustini sajand, 112; Ü. Vooglaid, interview with the author, 12 June 2017.
53. Heidmets et al. Sotslabori juhtum, 96.
54. K. Haav. Töörahulolu kontseptsiooni areng Eestis: Asser Murutar – rahulolu empiiriliste uurimuste algataja Tartus ja Eestis. – Inimeste maa, 86–102.
55. K. Haav. Töörahulolu kontseptsiooni areng Eestis, 90–91. See also T. Karukäpp, J. Kivimägi, K. Mits. Tehasekollektiivi rahulolu küsimusi: konkreetne sotsioloogiline uurimus. Tartu Riiklik Ülikool, Tartu, 1968; G. Raudver. Inimene ja töö. – Edasi, 1 June 1968.
56. T. Karukäpp, J. Kivimägi, K. Mits. Tehasekollektiivi rahulolu küsimusi; Ü. Vooglaid, interview with the author, 12 June 2017; T. Kõnnussaar, Sotsioloogialabori sünd, hiilgeaeg ja hukk. – Inimeste maa, 37–38.
57. C. Varga-Harris. Stories of House and Home: Soviet Apartment Life during the Khrushchev Years. Cornell University Press, Ithaca, 2016, 64–66.
https://doi.org/10.7591/9781501701849
58. Т. Ниит, М. Хеидметс, Й. Круусвалл. Психология среды в Естонии. – Исследования в области психологии среды в Естонии частЬ I: теоретически анализ и теоретические модели. статьи, опубликованные в 1979–2002. Ed. by M. Raudsepp, M. Heidmets. Tallinn University Press, Tallinn, 2022, 13; М. Лауристин, Й. Круусвалл, Т. Раитвийр. Региональное социальное исследование образа жизни (опыт социологов Тартуского университета). – Планирование социального развития городов 2. ИСИ АН СССР и ССА, Москва, 1975, 154–175.
59. M. Heidmets, M. Lauristin, P. Vihalemm. Sotslabori juhtum, 97.
60. TsNIIEP stands for Центральный научно-исследовательский проектный институт жылих и обшчественных зданыи; though it had considerable resources and sub-institutes in all the constituent republics, its impact on Soviet urban design was nonetheless limited – designs went from TsNIIEP to a number of other institutions, the most important of which was Gosstroi (State Committee for Construction in the Soviet Union), which often watered them down due to cost or complexity. See, for instance, K. Malaia. A Unit of Homemaking: The Prefabricated Panel and Domestic Architecture in the Late Soviet Union. – Architectural Histories, 2020, 8, 1, 1–16
https://doi.org/10.5334/ah.453
For the global proliferation of these forms, see Ł. Stanek. Architecture in Global Socialism: Eastern Europe, West Africa, and the Middle East in the Cold War. Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2020.
61. ECP CC decision cited in M. Heidmets, M. Lauristin, P. Vihalemm. Sotslabori juhtum, 97.
62. E. Weinberg. Sociology in the Soviet Union, 135–137; for the Estonian case, see M. Lagerspetz. Sotsioloogia, 6–7; A. Rämmer, V. Kalmus, H. Käärik. Academia Sociologicae 25. – Tartu Ülikooli ajaloo küsimusi, 2015, 43, 14–15.
63. For Gorbachev’s thinking and the role of global problems, see A. Brown. Seven Years That Changed the World: Perestroika in Perspective. Oxford University Press, New York, 2007, 57–58; R. English. Russia and the Idea of the West, 183–185; F. Bartel. The Triumph of Broken Promises: The End of the Cold War and the Rise of Neoliberalism. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 2022, 165–176.
64. J. Saharov. From Future Scenarios to Sovereignty Declarations, 809–831.
65. J. Saharov. From an Economic Term to a Political Concept: The Conceptual Innovation of “Self- Management” in Soviet Estonia. – Contributions to the History of Concepts, 2021, 16, 1, 116–140.
https://doi.org/10.3167/choc.2020.160106
66. U. Mereste. Mis on ISEmajandamine? Isemajandamisteooria alused. Eesti Raamat, Tallinn, 1989, 44.
67. IME Kontseptsioon – Projekt, p. 1, Tallinn, ERA.5006.1.141.
68. E. Savisaar. Võitlus mõtteviisi pärast: Neljas lugu. Edasimineku alternatiivid II. Tsentraliseerimine ja regioonipoliitika. – Vikerkaar, 1987, 2, 49.
69. E. Savisaar. Võitlus mõtteviisi pärast, 50.
70. IME Kontseptsioon – Projekt, p.3, Tallinn, ERA.5006.1.141.
71. M. Lauristin, P. Vihalemm. Massikommunikatsiooni teooria, 29.
72. Marju Lauristin, interview with the author, 12 April 2018.
73. O. Liivik. Vastuseisust Protestideni, 132–155; T. Muide. Green Bicycle Tours in the Years 1988–1993. – Methis, 2022, 24, 30, 228–235.
https://doi.org/10.7592/methis.v24i30.22110
74. M Lauristin. Fosforiidisündroom ja avalikkuse areng I. – Eesti Loodus, 1988, 7, 425.
75. M. Lauristin. Fosforiidisündroom ja avalikkuse areng I, 424.
76. M. Raudsepp, M. Heidmets, J. Kruusvall. Environmental Justice and Sustainability in Post-Soviet Estonia. – Environmental Justice and Sustainability in the Former Soviet Union. Ed. by J. Agyeman, Y. Ogneva-Himmelberger. The MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 2009, 215–235
https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/9780262012669.003.0010
J. Dawson. Eco-Nationalism: Anti-Nuclear Activism and National Identity in Russia, Lithuania, and Ukraine. Duke University Press, Durham, NC, 1996.
77. M. Lauristin. Fosforiidisündroom ja avalikkuse areng, 425.
78. M. Lauristin, R. Timak, P. Vihalemm. Keskonnateadvus – arusaamad ja hinnangud. – Eesti Loodus, 1985, 6, 378–379.
79. M. Lauristin. Fosforiidisündroom ja avalikkuse areng II. – Eesti Loodus, 1988, 8, 495.
80. M. Lauristin. Fosforiidisündroom ja avalikkuse areng II, 495.
81. Ibid., 498.
82. Ibid.
83. Ibid.
84. K. Axe. From Model Pupils to Model Teachers? Estonian Economists and the Neoliberalization of the (Post)Socialist World. PhD Dissertation. Freie University Berlin, 2024, 132–133; 152.
85. M. Laos. Mainori lugu, 227–228.
86. On the history of VCIOM, see Л. Борусяк. От ВЦИОМа к «Левада-центру». «Взрослые люди». Беседа с социологом Борисом Дубиным. Вторая часть. – Полит.ру. 5 November 2009,
https://web.archive.org/web/20091105084913/
http://www.polit.ru/analytics/2009/11/04/dubin.html (1 July 2025).
87. J. Kivirähk. „Mainori“ avaliku arvamuse uuringute keskus teatab. – Noorte Hääl, 11 October 1989, 3.
88. Mida oodatakse uuelt Ülemnõukogult. – Päevaleht, 19 March 1990, 1; J. Kivirähk. Ka muulased pooldavad Nõukogude Liidust eraldumist. – Rahva Hääl, 15 September 1990, 2.